Football Betting

No. 22 Penn State Nittany Lions and quarterback Matthew McGloin will take on No. 19-ranked Houston Cougars and Case Keenum in the Ticketcity Bowl in Dallas, Texas January 2, 2012 12:00 EST. Penn State is riding an emotional roller coaster since the Sandusky sex case and this is essentially a home game for Keenum and the Cougars, will it give them the edge.

Starting out as 7 point favorites the number has already been bet down to 5.5 points for the Houston Cougars. 52% of the money coming in on the Cougars has the money is evening out with the initial line adjustment.

The Over/Under moving up from the initial post of 56.5 that was 57.5 points. The early money is going down on the over at 58% and the moneyline is getting hammered on this game. Penn State is receiving about 71% of the money on Moneyline. After seeing a major swing of money come down them Penn State is +193. As the seven point favourite the value may come with the Houston Cougars at -215.

In their last 14 games Penn State is 3-10-1 against the point spread and the numbers are telling especially for a road game to Texas. The Nittany Lions’ failure to cover the over in 11 games is yet another telling trend for this team. 8 of 11 games this season the number has gone under for Penn State.

Riding a four-game winning streak heading into this game the Cougars have also done well versus the point spread going 10-3 against the number. To my mind this bet is a no brainer!